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CSGO: The Chance of a Dragonlore Drop?

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Info: I used some calculations to figure out the exact chance of a Dragonlore drop based on an assumption of skin rarity when dropping. ▽ Stalk Alexjgate :D ● Twitter: https://twitter.com/alexjgate ● Twitch: http://www.twitch.tv/alexjgate ● Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/c/alexjgate CSGO: CS:GO or Counter Strike: Global Offence is a competitive first person shooter game basing players as either terrorist or counter terrorist. Their objective is to kill the opposing team in a variety of gamemodes. Music: Killercats - Tell Me (feat. Alex Skrindo) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=besNDPvEwQw JJD - Halcyon https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SeyweGHLxSg Outro: Archie & Itro - Who We Are (feat. Brenton Mattheus) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A34Ta... ● iTunes: http://99l.tv/WhoWeAre-i ● Spotify: http://99l.tv/WhoWeAre-S ● Google Play: http://99l.tv/WhoWeAre-G Credit: ▽ Connect to NCS ● Snapchat: ncsmusic ● http://soundcloud.com/nocopyrightsounds ● http://instagram.com/nocopyrightsounds_ ● http://facebook.com/NoCopyrightSounds ● http://twitch.tv/nocopyrightsounds ● http://twitter.com/NCSounds ● http://bit.ly/SpotifyNCS ▽ Follow Brenton Mattheus: ● Soundcloud: http://soundcloud.com/brenton-mattheus ● Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/BrentonMattheus ● YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/user/brentonma... ▽ Follow Itro: ● Soundcloud: http://soundcloud.com/itro ● YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/user/officialitro ● Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/itromsc ▽ Follow Archie: ● YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/user/realarchi... ● Soundcloud: http://soundcloud.com/realarchiemusic ● Twitter: http://twitter.com/archie_music ▽ Follow Killercats ● https://soundcloud.com/kcatsofficial ● https://www.facebook.com/kcatsofficial/ ● https://twitter.com/kcatsofficial ▽ Follow Alex Skrindo ● https://soundcloud.com/alex-skrindo ● https://www.facebook.com/AlexanderSkr... ● https://twitter.com/AlexSkrindo ▽ Follow JJD ● https://soundcloud.com/jjdofficial ● https://www.facebook.com/jjdofficial ● https://www.youtube.com/user/JJDofficial Leave a comment, rating or even subscribe for more awesome videos!! As usual, Thanks for watching!
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Text Comments (566)
erjun (20 days ago)
sparys came to the game and the chance of dropping ( not a dlore ) something good is a rare thing too lol
erjun (20 days ago)
the most expensive item i dropped from a competitive match was a clutch case worth like 2 dollars i guess but there was a site named sliver.tv i was opening cases from there i won a hyper beast and a g18 water elemental. this site made my inventory, my steam account. i did something stupid and sell the hyper beast for pubg and i can't even play it because i'm playing on low specs. but when i sold the water elemental i made my inventory. i'm happy with it so i recommend you this site. btw if you want to add me in steam link is in my channel
SPART nyan (1 month ago)
If its that low,how does kennyS have one?
히포 (1 month ago)
i got m4a1 nitro...
Verbal Vertigo (2 months ago)
NEVER TELL ME THE ODDS
H0RN3T (2 months ago)
I guess I am lucky bcz I got 3 purples in a row 2 pot vipers and r8 amber fn
dark_ fire (2 months ago)
pls tell me the map 2:09
dark_ fire (2 months ago)
2:09 what map are you plaiyng on
Rahul Khaitan (2 months ago)
Name of the surfing server?
Nosherwan Ahmad (2 months ago)
i got a min wear ak emerald pinstripe, thats pretty rare
Blakee (2 months ago)
to be fair the number of skins in the pool probably doesnt take part, usually drop tables function as you roll for the table not its contents so you would be hitting the 100,000 whites table, then from hitting that table you then have a 1 in 23 of getting anything inside it which still makes covert crazy rare, but a more realistic number, especially because the amount of dlores that have been dropped would far surpass your given droprate
NITIN DWIVEDI (2 months ago)
I got a dragon lore drop i deleted it :)
Friar Jean (3 months ago)
Wait, so there a chance! My life is a lie-
General Shepherd (3 months ago)
i got 4 euro clutch case when it came to game it was expensive and i doesnt know it cost 4 euros so i sold it day ago for 30 cents :/
MLNDR (3 months ago)
We are in de_cbble and Ts A CT gets killed His weapon is AWP- Dragon Lore I picked it up My cousin wanted to play with it and a CT killed him That's my experience of having an awp dragonlore
רועי כהן (4 months ago)
"THE MEDUSA WOULD BE COOL"
JT Gaming (4 months ago)
1:05 lmao ‘rarearity’
A Random Gamer (6 months ago)
lmao rararity
sladkorcek 123 (6 months ago)
my code on CSGO FAST : 5TVESK
sladkorcek 123 (6 months ago)
https://csgofast.tl/#r/5tvesk
GamePal (6 months ago)
What map are u playing at, I also wanna play(at start of the video)
GamePal (6 months ago)
Alexjgate man,I have one more problem,I wanna stream csgo on twitch with obs but can't cause my laptop is kinda shit and obs uses my CPU AF, can u help me out?
Alexjgate (6 months ago)
It was a surf server from a very long time ago, no idea if it's still running sorry ;p
Sterile Daryl (6 months ago)
"best" thing iv ever gotten was a m4 nitro
NadeKing (6 months ago)
0,000% seems ok
Jenda :P (6 months ago)
Yes :D
John Ryan (6 months ago)
Umm u got it wrong I think Not 100k 10k Lol
Black Reaper (6 months ago)
0:10 i got a case
ShaNky (6 months ago)
Better forget getting a dlore
MLNDR (3 months ago)
5K ShaZera CSGO i got to play with it when somebody who had it got killed
ShaNky (6 months ago)
Alexjgate That guy will become rich
Alexjgate (6 months ago)
+SYS BOOM It has to drop for someone
SwagiWolf (7 months ago)
0.0000391932%
xXDylanXx (7 months ago)
Bruh, I've played CSGO 170 hours, and the best drop I've ever gotten is a Mac-10 candy apple, field-tested.
Abum (7 months ago)
i got a master piece before :)
dmat1x (7 months ago)
at the end the chance is 0.0000391932%
Manan Man (8 months ago)
The best i ve got is a operation bravo case 😠
Alexjgate (8 months ago)
That's still really damn good man xD
DareProfi69 (8 months ago)
WHAT IS THIS MAPP??? im beginner
Nametrain (8 months ago)
this shit fake covert not 1
Alexjgate (8 months ago)
This was correct based on my assumptions, but my original assumptions have recently been proven wrong, so I have updated this video as of 2 days ago, feel free to check my latest release ;p
ShengShung Lee (9 months ago)
I got a Fuckin Dlore in a Hydra drop WTF
GWEN Reprise (9 months ago)
I actually got a $5 skin my first drop lol
gjegjegje (9 months ago)
i am actually happy with my p250 sand dune because it is factory new
Miguel Silva (10 months ago)
the grafitti´s dosen´t count ?
Alexjgate (9 months ago)
+Miguel Silva Video released ages before graffiti fam, but it would still have no effect
lolmomgay (10 months ago)
"Raraity""
Alexjgate (10 months ago)
+How many Children can I eat Pls am not English ;-;
Owltaku (10 months ago)
So I'm lucky that I got an Icurus Fell drop
Alexjgate (10 months ago)
+Owltaku Very nice!
Jaken (10 months ago)
Meanwhile, I want an Aug akihabara accept...
Мisscl!cК (10 months ago)
I got 2 medusas from 3 operations eh
milky chance (10 months ago)
Best drop: FN Mac-10 | Fade - $2.26 How about u guys?
xBlackFalkonx (10 months ago)
I just got a D Lore Fn Hydra Drop lol
NeonEagle (10 months ago)
So I got lucky with my Icarus fell..
Abdull Abdllejah (11 months ago)
Corvo, que level você era quando ganhou a Dlore ? Vc já fazia guias e tals ? Eu já abri +120 cx e nunca peguei um vermelho e sequer uma faca. Pra melhorar a minha sorte eu sempre aposto a minha faca em algum site e perco :( . -800USD Dá uma dica ? Eu devo ter uns 100 cartões da steam que vende na lojas americanas :( . Assina meu perfil ? :c
Kinky Ninja (11 months ago)
This video could have been 1 secound
Alexjgate (11 months ago)
My outro is like 19 seconds, and it takes like 15 seconds to say the odds, but with all the proofing and showing how I came to my conclusion, no it could take as long as I want ;p
Xender (11 months ago)
Friend got cz from cobble case
Naytte (11 months ago)
I got a $5 skin as a drop...
WheelBite (11 months ago)
I wish i watched this before i bought the hydra pass lmao
that explains everything
justas gasevicius (11 months ago)
I have fcking 2 friends who got dlores and best what i got is ak black laminate. Playing cs for 3 years fck this shit i quit
cozybrush0 (11 months ago)
christ the chance of getting a thousand dollar item is less then having a condom break that could cost you several hundred thousand
Tobias (11 months ago)
I got a p2000 amber fade once which is 0.06% chance
Blxzz (11 months ago)
GOT A DROP HOLY SHIT CHECK SCREENSHOTS AND INV http://steamcommunity.com/id/blxzz/
Bootaysweg (1 year ago)
bruh nice bhop script
Francisco Soveral (1 year ago)
already won about 17$ from this operation
LakuneLaps (1 year ago)
U should make what is the chances of getting a knife or a dlore in a case
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
+LakuneLaps I might be doing it very soon :p
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
+LakuneLaps I might be doing it very soon :p
Xever64 (1 year ago)
Add at least another 10 zeroes to the front of the dragon lore drop percentage because of graffiti...
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
+Xever64 no actually you cannot get graffiti with the pass so if you do get the skin then this is the odds of the dragon lore from the skin
starburst (1 year ago)
I got a factory new Pandora's box in a operation drop
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
+Starburst Attack That's a decent drop, nice man!
Justin L (1 year ago)
I got a mw one from the Hydra operation. funny part - I'm a silver, and prior to the drop, had never opened a single case in my life. http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=933665224
MerkurDerMongole (1 year ago)
Today I got a Dragon Lore fieldtested from the Operation Hydra !!!! proof http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198036972189/
A Little Flame (1 year ago)
OMFG I JUST GOT A MEDUSA https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/337963570497323009/343022791680983041/Screen_Shot_2017-08-04_at_9.27.54_PM_2.png
A Little Flame (1 year ago)
If you want more proof that it is really me then you can just ask in my profile comments. https://steamcommunity.com/id/DragBit/
Lava Lamp (1 year ago)
I just got a well worn medusa drop: )
Xliam100X (1 year ago)
I got a 5 dollar skin from my first drop
Artur Järnja (1 year ago)
kill yourself
SnX Dust (1 year ago)
XDDDDDDD
SnX Dust (1 year ago)
THIS FUCKING VIDEO SUCKS KILL YOURSELF
Andrei221 (1 year ago)
Duude ,today i got a dragon lore from a hydra drop on nuke,people were so mad on me
Flamnq (1 year ago)
You should of just put the word, "Rarity," on the screen. It was triggering me :/
Zhyther (1 year ago)
3.26610001e-8. This is what your chances are of getting it since you have a 1/12 chance of getting it yourself.
kelan andersson (1 year ago)
Chance of a dlore drop from a comp game in CS:GO: 1 in 2,500,000 Chance of getting struck by lightning in your lifetime: 1 in 3000 Chance of getting struck by lightning 850 times in your lifetime: 1 in 2,500,000 I want to be struck by lightning now :(
kelan andersson (1 year ago)
Ugh. why do you go and have to ruin it with all of your fancy math :( I still want to get struck by lightning, and get a dlore drop the following day.
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
No cas it will exponentially get larger, ie. getting struck twice is 1/3000 x 1/3000, however online it's apparently stated getting hit twice in one lifetime is only 1/12000, so going off the 4x rule that the internet states, to make 1/2,500,000 then it would be ((((((3000)x4)x4)x4)x4)x4) making it a rough 1 in 3 million or 1/3,000,000 to get hit by lightening in one lifetime six times, which is the closest amount of lightening strikes to a dragonlore drop, based on the internet rule over standard binomial or probability. This is probably so wrong, but reading the comment was hilarious so thanks xD
lua (1 year ago)
I got a restricted omigosh
Hunt A (1 year ago)
they will have to release the exact percentages when they realease the game to china
Klutch (1 year ago)
well after every week i send then skins to my main acc when they are tradable , and i sold the awp pit viper and opened a single case and i was lucky enough to win a knife , it's a gut knife night ft with 0,15 float and i also traded from nothing to a knife so i now have 2 knives , the gut and falchion forest ddpat 0.16 float ;) btw if you are wondering what was the other purple/blue drops here they are : purple : awp pit viper(mw) and ak-47 emerald pinstripe . blue : five-seven nitro(fn) sg 553 damascus steel(fn) ssg 08 acid fade (fn) and 2 desert eagle urban rubbles 1 was ft and the other mw . http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198202483439 feel free to check my account ;) i sold most of the drop skins .
Klutch (1 year ago)
not even a single pink/red on 5 fucking accounts ;(
Klutch (1 year ago)
lel the best drop i got was a awp pit viper minimal with a low float xD . i have like 5 cs go accounts and every week i get 5 drops and most of the drops are trash ... anyways in total i got 5 blue , 2 purple , 17 light blue and 153 grey -_-
Weaselfie (1 year ago)
0.0000391932% For those who just wanna know without watching the full vid
rimi2121 omg (1 year ago)
did you know that 0,06 % to get a dragon lore in a cobbel stone case
shibak (1 year ago)
i got a medusa Fn lol
löNELY Memz (1 year ago)
still better chances to get a dlore in game than casejar
Danny Voges (1 year ago)
my best drop was ak minsty
Reverse Films (1 year ago)
the way you say rarity makes me cringe. good video
Spr4yer (1 year ago)
What is the percentage on getting an Operation Bravo crate?
marcsonic01 (1 year ago)
Wow well my friend got a Poseidon and my other friend got an Icarus fell and I got a bs mp9 storm wooo
BossDude320 Louw (1 year ago)
i asked valve its is a 0.0000000032415 chance
Jaay (1 year ago)
My best drop was awp pit viper
Slurps Megee (1 year ago)
I got a mw nitro, a red quarts tec 9 fn, and a Franklin fn from comp drops
Bluezbot (1 year ago)
can you get knife as drop in csgo?
m1deo (1 year ago)
when i think that i dropped one today wtf
Little Weasel (1 year ago)
What's an Operation pass is it like Phoenix or Hydra???
555 (1 year ago)
can't you get graffiti from drops?
555 (1 year ago)
thanks, i didn't know that. Is there a chance to get a dragon lore if i buy the cobble stone pin or is that just a waste of money (even though it probably is anyways)
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
This was made before graffiti was introduced, but keep in mind you cannot get graffiti operation drops anyway
Jared Vander Meulen (1 year ago)
i got a dragon lore drop from the new hydra operation swear to god
Blazy (1 year ago)
Did you come to Gaben's house to try this out? If you are there plz also ask him to unban me :)
AndeerssooN (1 year ago)
I got an icarus fell FN, from the Hydra operation
Josh liebelt (1 year ago)
my friend got a knight
tygrysowyy (1 year ago)
10 blue skins = 1 purple skin - 10 purple = 10 pink? then red skin = 0.1% chance? please ;/
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
Firstly the dragonlore is in a collection that goes below blues, so even if your logic was true then the dragonlore would be 0.001%, but you're excluding the fact that there are other skins in each subgroup, and considering there are a total of three red tier skins, then you'd have a 0.001% chance for a 1 in 3, so that leaves you with 0.000333...%, which is a valid assumption, but the variance of different tier counts fro each collections would likely mean Valve uses them as a collection, which Is what I calculate in the video.
bestguy Iscrafting (1 year ago)
what's the map with all the different color zones? it looks fun to play
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
"br_electrified" search it on workshop ;p
Please answer me: what that a game mode? in 2:59
Zpat (1 year ago)
lol I got a 1 dollar skins on my at from a drop when I was rank 1
Marin Rebrovic (1 year ago)
I guess i m one of the lucky bastards who got it haahhaha :D its fkn unreal :###### http://prntscr.com/fl00bi ;)

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