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CSGO: The Chance of a Dragonlore Drop?

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Info: I used some calculations to figure out the exact chance of a Dragonlore drop based on an assumption of skin rarity when dropping. ▽ Stalk Alexjgate :D ● Twitter: https://twitter.com/alexjgate ● Twitch: http://www.twitch.tv/alexjgate ● Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/c/alexjgate CSGO: CS:GO or Counter Strike: Global Offence is a competitive first person shooter game basing players as either terrorist or counter terrorist. Their objective is to kill the opposing team in a variety of gamemodes. Music: Killercats - Tell Me (feat. Alex Skrindo) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=besNDPvEwQw JJD - Halcyon https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SeyweGHLxSg Outro: Archie & Itro - Who We Are (feat. Brenton Mattheus) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A34Ta... ● iTunes: http://99l.tv/WhoWeAre-i ● Spotify: http://99l.tv/WhoWeAre-S ● Google Play: http://99l.tv/WhoWeAre-G Credit: ▽ Connect to NCS ● Snapchat: ncsmusic ● http://soundcloud.com/nocopyrightsounds ● http://instagram.com/nocopyrightsounds_ ● http://facebook.com/NoCopyrightSounds ● http://twitch.tv/nocopyrightsounds ● http://twitter.com/NCSounds ● http://bit.ly/SpotifyNCS ▽ Follow Brenton Mattheus: ● Soundcloud: http://soundcloud.com/brenton-mattheus ● Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/BrentonMattheus ● YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/user/brentonma... ▽ Follow Itro: ● Soundcloud: http://soundcloud.com/itro ● YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/user/officialitro ● Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/itromsc ▽ Follow Archie: ● YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/user/realarchi... ● Soundcloud: http://soundcloud.com/realarchiemusic ● Twitter: http://twitter.com/archie_music ▽ Follow Killercats ● https://soundcloud.com/kcatsofficial ● https://www.facebook.com/kcatsofficial/ ● https://twitter.com/kcatsofficial ▽ Follow Alex Skrindo ● https://soundcloud.com/alex-skrindo ● https://www.facebook.com/AlexanderSkr... ● https://twitter.com/AlexSkrindo ▽ Follow JJD ● https://soundcloud.com/jjdofficial ● https://www.facebook.com/jjdofficial ● https://www.youtube.com/user/JJDofficial Leave a comment, rating or even subscribe for more awesome videos!! As usual, Thanks for watching!
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Text Comments (563)
히포 (5 days ago)
i got m4a1 nitro...
Verbal Vertigo (5 days ago)
NEVER TELL ME THE ODDS
H0RN3T (11 days ago)
I guess I am lucky bcz I got 3 purples in a row 2 pot vipers and r8 amber fn
dark_ fire (21 days ago)
pls tell me the map 2:09
dark_ fire (21 days ago)
2:09 what map are you plaiyng on
Rahul Khaitan (22 days ago)
Name of the surfing server?
Kryptic (22 days ago)
i got a min wear ak emerald pinstripe, thats pretty rare
Blakee (22 days ago)
to be fair the number of skins in the pool probably doesnt take part, usually drop tables function as you roll for the table not its contents so you would be hitting the 100,000 whites table, then from hitting that table you then have a 1 in 23 of getting anything inside it which still makes covert crazy rare, but a more realistic number, especially because the amount of dlores that have been dropped would far surpass your given droprate
NITIN DWIVEDI (26 days ago)
I got a dragon lore drop i deleted it :)
Friar Jean (1 month ago)
Wait, so there a chance! My life is a lie-
General Shepherd (1 month ago)
i got 4 euro clutch case when it came to game it was expensive and i doesnt know it cost 4 euros so i sold it day ago for 30 cents :/
MLNDR (1 month ago)
We are in de_cbble and Ts A CT gets killed His weapon is AWP- Dragon Lore I picked it up My cousin wanted to play with it and a CT killed him That's my experience of having an awp dragonlore
רועי כהן (2 months ago)
"THE MEDUSA WOULD BE COOL"
JT Gaming (2 months ago)
1:05 lmao ‘rarearity’
A Random Gamer (4 months ago)
lmao rararity
sladkorcek 123 (4 months ago)
my code on CSGO FAST : 5TVESK
sladkorcek 123 (4 months ago)
https://csgofast.tl/#r/5tvesk
GamePal (4 months ago)
What map are u playing at, I also wanna play(at start of the video)
GamePal (4 months ago)
Alexjgate man,I have one more problem,I wanna stream csgo on twitch with obs but can't cause my laptop is kinda shit and obs uses my CPU AF, can u help me out?
Alexjgate (4 months ago)
It was a surf server from a very long time ago, no idea if it's still running sorry ;p
Sterile Daryl (5 months ago)
"best" thing iv ever gotten was a m4 nitro
NadeKing (5 months ago)
0,000% seems ok
Jenda :P (5 months ago)
Yes :D
John Ryan (5 months ago)
Umm u got it wrong I think Not 100k 10k Lol
Black Reaper (5 months ago)
0:10 i got a case
5K ShaZera CSGO (5 months ago)
Better forget getting a dlore
MLNDR (1 month ago)
5K ShaZera CSGO i got to play with it when somebody who had it got killed
5K ShaZera CSGO (5 months ago)
Alexjgate That guy will become rich
Alexjgate (5 months ago)
+SYS BOOM It has to drop for someone
SwagiWolf (5 months ago)
0.0000391932%
xXDylanXx (5 months ago)
Bruh, I've played CSGO 170 hours, and the best drop I've ever gotten is a Mac-10 candy apple, field-tested.
Abum (5 months ago)
i got a master piece before :)
DMat1x (6 months ago)
at the end the chance is 0.0000391932%
Manan Man (6 months ago)
The best i ve got is a operation bravo case 😠
Alexjgate (6 months ago)
That's still really damn good man xD
DareProfi69 (7 months ago)
WHAT IS THIS MAPP??? im beginner
Nametrain (7 months ago)
this shit fake covert not 1
Alexjgate (7 months ago)
This was correct based on my assumptions, but my original assumptions have recently been proven wrong, so I have updated this video as of 2 days ago, feel free to check my latest release ;p
ShengShung Lee (7 months ago)
I got a Fuckin Dlore in a Hydra drop WTF
GWEN Reprise (7 months ago)
I actually got a $5 skin my first drop lol
gjegjegje (8 months ago)
i am actually happy with my p250 sand dune because it is factory new
Miguel Silva (8 months ago)
the grafitti´s dosen´t count ?
Alexjgate (8 months ago)
+Miguel Silva Video released ages before graffiti fam, but it would still have no effect
lolmomgay (8 months ago)
"Raraity""
Alexjgate (8 months ago)
+How many Children can I eat Pls am not English ;-;
Owltaku (8 months ago)
So I'm lucky that I got an Icurus Fell drop
Alexjgate (8 months ago)
+Owltaku Very nice!
Jaken (8 months ago)
Meanwhile, I want an Aug akihabara accept...
Мisscl!cК (8 months ago)
I got 2 medusas from 3 operations eh
seneca (8 months ago)
Best drop: FN Mac-10 | Fade - $2.26 How about u guys?
xBlackFalkonx (9 months ago)
I just got a D Lore Fn Hydra Drop lol
NeonEagle (9 months ago)
So I got lucky with my Icarus fell..
Abdull Abdllejah (9 months ago)
Corvo, que level você era quando ganhou a Dlore ? Vc já fazia guias e tals ? Eu já abri +120 cx e nunca peguei um vermelho e sequer uma faca. Pra melhorar a minha sorte eu sempre aposto a minha faca em algum site e perco :( . -800USD Dá uma dica ? Eu devo ter uns 100 cartões da steam que vende na lojas americanas :( . Assina meu perfil ? :c
Kinky Ninja (9 months ago)
This video could have been 1 secound
Alexjgate (9 months ago)
My outro is like 19 seconds, and it takes like 15 seconds to say the odds, but with all the proofing and showing how I came to my conclusion, no it could take as long as I want ;p
Xender (9 months ago)
Friend got cz from cobble case
Naytte (9 months ago)
I got a $5 skin as a drop...
WheelBite ASMR (9 months ago)
I wish i watched this before i bought the hydra pass lmao
that explains everything
justas gasevicius (9 months ago)
I have fcking 2 friends who got dlores and best what i got is ak black laminate. Playing cs for 3 years fck this shit i quit
cozybrush0 (10 months ago)
christ the chance of getting a thousand dollar item is less then having a condom break that could cost you several hundred thousand
Tobias (10 months ago)
I got a p2000 amber fade once which is 0.06% chance
Blxzz (10 months ago)
GOT A DROP HOLY SHIT CHECK SCREENSHOTS AND INV http://steamcommunity.com/id/blxzz/
Bootaysweg (10 months ago)
bruh nice bhop script
Francisco Soveral (10 months ago)
already won about 17$ from this operation
LakuneLaps (10 months ago)
U should make what is the chances of getting a knife or a dlore in a case
Alexjgate (10 months ago)
+LakuneLaps I might be doing it very soon :p
Alexjgate (10 months ago)
+LakuneLaps I might be doing it very soon :p
Xever64 (10 months ago)
Add at least another 10 zeroes to the front of the dragon lore drop percentage because of graffiti...
Alexjgate (10 months ago)
+Xever64 no actually you cannot get graffiti with the pass so if you do get the skin then this is the odds of the dragon lore from the skin
starburst (10 months ago)
I got a factory new Pandora's box in a operation drop
Alexjgate (10 months ago)
+Starburst Attack That's a decent drop, nice man!
Justin L (10 months ago)
I got a mw one from the Hydra operation. funny part - I'm a silver, and prior to the drop, had never opened a single case in my life. http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=933665224
MerkurDerMongole (10 months ago)
Today I got a Dragon Lore fieldtested from the Operation Hydra !!!! proof http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198036972189/
A Little Flame (10 months ago)
OMFG I JUST GOT A MEDUSA https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/337963570497323009/343022791680983041/Screen_Shot_2017-08-04_at_9.27.54_PM_2.png
A Little Flame (10 months ago)
If you want more proof that it is really me then you can just ask in my profile comments. https://steamcommunity.com/id/DragBit/
Lava Lamp (10 months ago)
I just got a well worn medusa drop: )
Xliam100X (10 months ago)
I got a 5 dollar skin from my first drop
Artur Järnja (10 months ago)
kill yourself
SnX Dust (10 months ago)
XDDDDDDD
SnX Dust (10 months ago)
THIS FUCKING VIDEO SUCKS KILL YOURSELF
Andrei221 (11 months ago)
Duude ,today i got a dragon lore from a hydra drop on nuke,people were so mad on me
FlamnqPvP (11 months ago)
You should of just put the word, "Rarity," on the screen. It was triggering me :/
Zhyther (11 months ago)
3.26610001e-8. This is what your chances are of getting it since you have a 1/12 chance of getting it yourself.
kelan andersson (11 months ago)
Chance of a dlore drop from a comp game in CS:GO: 1 in 2,500,000 Chance of getting struck by lightning in your lifetime: 1 in 3000 Chance of getting struck by lightning 850 times in your lifetime: 1 in 2,500,000 I want to be struck by lightning now :(
kelan andersson (11 months ago)
Ugh. why do you go and have to ruin it with all of your fancy math :( I still want to get struck by lightning, and get a dlore drop the following day.
Alexjgate (11 months ago)
No cas it will exponentially get larger, ie. getting struck twice is 1/3000 x 1/3000, however online it's apparently stated getting hit twice in one lifetime is only 1/12000, so going off the 4x rule that the internet states, to make 1/2,500,000 then it would be ((((((3000)x4)x4)x4)x4)x4) making it a rough 1 in 3 million or 1/3,000,000 to get hit by lightening in one lifetime six times, which is the closest amount of lightening strikes to a dragonlore drop, based on the internet rule over standard binomial or probability. This is probably so wrong, but reading the comment was hilarious so thanks xD
lua (11 months ago)
I got a restricted omigosh
Hunt A (11 months ago)
they will have to release the exact percentages when they realease the game to china
Klutch (11 months ago)
well after every week i send then skins to my main acc when they are tradable , and i sold the awp pit viper and opened a single case and i was lucky enough to win a knife , it's a gut knife night ft with 0,15 float and i also traded from nothing to a knife so i now have 2 knives , the gut and falchion forest ddpat 0.16 float ;) btw if you are wondering what was the other purple/blue drops here they are : purple : awp pit viper(mw) and ak-47 emerald pinstripe . blue : five-seven nitro(fn) sg 553 damascus steel(fn) ssg 08 acid fade (fn) and 2 desert eagle urban rubbles 1 was ft and the other mw . http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198202483439 feel free to check my account ;) i sold most of the drop skins .
Klutch (11 months ago)
not even a single pink/red on 5 fucking accounts ;(
Klutch (11 months ago)
lel the best drop i got was a awp pit viper minimal with a low float xD . i have like 5 cs go accounts and every week i get 5 drops and most of the drops are trash ... anyways in total i got 5 blue , 2 purple , 17 light blue and 153 grey -_-
Weaselfie (11 months ago)
0.0000391932% For those who just wanna know without watching the full vid
rimi2121 omg (11 months ago)
did you know that 0,06 % to get a dragon lore in a cobbel stone case
shibak (11 months ago)
i got a medusa Fn lol
löNELY (11 months ago)
still better chances to get a dlore in game than casejar
Danny Voges (11 months ago)
my best drop was ak minsty
Reverse Films (11 months ago)
the way you say rarity makes me cringe. good video
NameIsDave (11 months ago)
What is the percentage on getting an Operation Bravo crate?
marcsonic01 (11 months ago)
Wow well my friend got a Poseidon and my other friend got an Icarus fell and I got a bs mp9 storm wooo
BossDude320 Louw (11 months ago)
i asked valve its is a 0.0000000032415 chance
Jaay (11 months ago)
My best drop was awp pit viper
Slurps Megee (11 months ago)
I got a mw nitro, a red quarts tec 9 fn, and a Franklin fn from comp drops
Bluezbot (11 months ago)
can you get knife as drop in csgo?
m1deo (11 months ago)
when i think that i dropped one today wtf
Little Weasel (11 months ago)
What's an Operation pass is it like Phoenix or Hydra???
555 (11 months ago)
can't you get graffiti from drops?
555 (11 months ago)
thanks, i didn't know that. Is there a chance to get a dragon lore if i buy the cobble stone pin or is that just a waste of money (even though it probably is anyways)
Alexjgate (11 months ago)
This was made before graffiti was introduced, but keep in mind you cannot get graffiti operation drops anyway
Jared Vander Meulen (1 year ago)
i got a dragon lore drop from the new hydra operation swear to god
Blazy (1 year ago)
Did you come to Gaben's house to try this out? If you are there plz also ask him to unban me :)
AndeerssooN (1 year ago)
I got an icarus fell FN, from the Hydra operation
Josh liebelt (1 year ago)
my friend got a knight
tygrysowyy (1 year ago)
10 blue skins = 1 purple skin - 10 purple = 10 pink? then red skin = 0.1% chance? please ;/
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
Firstly the dragonlore is in a collection that goes below blues, so even if your logic was true then the dragonlore would be 0.001%, but you're excluding the fact that there are other skins in each subgroup, and considering there are a total of three red tier skins, then you'd have a 0.001% chance for a 1 in 3, so that leaves you with 0.000333...%, which is a valid assumption, but the variance of different tier counts fro each collections would likely mean Valve uses them as a collection, which Is what I calculate in the video.
bestguy Iscrafting (1 year ago)
what's the map with all the different color zones? it looks fun to play
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
"br_electrified" search it on workshop ;p
Please answer me: what that a game mode? in 2:59
Zpat (1 year ago)
lol I got a 1 dollar skins on my at from a drop when I was rank 1
Marin Rebrovic (1 year ago)
I guess i m one of the lucky bastards who got it haahhaha :D its fkn unreal :###### http://prntscr.com/fl00bi ;)
Orlando Herrera (1 year ago)
reading the chat: "optimize youre a cool guy" "want to be friends" "k" "jk" "youre fucking gay" "i know" lol
Sp33d (1 year ago)
2:28 I thought that u would say valve is illuminati because of 2.551.463 4+6+3=13 so when you do -10 we dont know why -10 but anyways 3! and illuminati has 3 corners BOOM WHAT A VIDEO 7 million VIEWS EZ MONEY!
Matthew Harris (1 year ago)
rare-arity? I think you mean rarity fam. Great video though
Alexjgate (1 year ago)
Thanks man ;D

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